• Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Money Rise Today – Investing and Stock News
  • Investing
  • Stock
Stock

Three-year inflation outlook hits record low in New York Fed consumer survey

by August 13, 2024
written by August 13, 2024

Consumers grew more confident in July that inflation will be less of a problem in the coming years, according to a New York Federal Reserve report Monday that showed the three-year outlook at a new low.

The latest views from the monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations indicate that respondents see inflation staying elevated over the next year but then receding in the next couple of years after that.

In fact, the three-year portion of the survey showed consumers expecting inflation at just 2.3%, down 0.6 percentage point from June and the lowest in the history of the survey, going back to June 2013.

The results come with investors on edge about the state of inflation and whether the Federal Reserve might be able to reduce interest rates as soon as next month. Economists view expectations as a key for inflation as consumers and business owners will adjust their behavior if they think prices and labor costs are likely to continue to rise.

On Wednesday, the Labor Department will release its own monthly inflation reading, the consumer price index, which is expected to show an increase of 0.2% in July and an annual rate of 3%, Dow Jones estimates show. That’s still a full percentage point away from the Fed’s 2% goal but about one-third of where it was two years ago.

Markets have fully priced in the likelihood of at least a quarter percentage point rate cut in September and a strong likelihood that the Fed will lower by a full percentage point by the end of the year.

While the medium-term outlook improved, inflation expectations on the one- and five-year horizons stood unchanged at 3% and 2.8%, respectively.

However, there was some other good inflation news in the survey.

Respondents expect the price of gas to increase by 3.5% over the next year, 0.8 percentage point less than in June, and food to see a rise of 4.7%, which is 0.1 percentage point lower than a month ago.

In addition, household spending is expected to increase by 4.9%, which is 0.2 percentage point lower than in June and the lowest reading since April 2021, right around the time when the current inflation surge began.

Conversely, expectations rose for medical care, college education and rent costs. The outlook for college costs jumped to a 7.2% increase, up 1.9 percentage points, while the rent component — which has been particularly nettlesome for Fed officials who have been looking for housing costs to decline — is seen as rising by 7.1%, or 0.6 percentage point more than June.

Expectations for employment brightened, despite the rising unemployment rate. The perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next year fell to 14.3%, down half a percentage point, while the expectation of leaving one’s job voluntarily, a proxy for worker confidence about opportunities in the labor market, climbed to 20.7%, a 0.2 percentage point increase for the highest reading since February 2023.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS
0 comment
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

previous post
Fox News Power Rankings: Five themes emerge in the battle for the House gavel
next post
‘Is this a joke?’: Rashida Tlaib furious at Blinken for celebrating Geneva Conventions anniversary

related articles

Customers sue sneaker company On over shoes that...

October 20, 2025

Giorgio Armani group names longtime executive Giuseppe Marsocci...

October 17, 2025

LendingTree founder and CEO Doug Lebda dies in...

October 15, 2025

UPS is ‘disposing of’ U.S.-bound packages over customs...

October 13, 2025

China outlines more controls on exports of rare...

October 10, 2025

Paramount acquires Bari Weiss’ The Free Press, naming...

October 7, 2025

YouTube to pay $24 million to settle Trump...

October 1, 2025

Charlie Javice sentenced to 7 years in prison...

October 1, 2025

Video game maker Electronic Arts to be acquired...

October 1, 2025

Nearly 200,000 BMWs recalled over potential fire risk

September 30, 2025
Enter Your Information Below To Receive Free Trading Ideas, Latest News, And Articles.


Your information is secure and your privacy is protected. By opting in you agree to receive emails from us. Remember that you can opt-out any time, we hate spam too!

Latest News

  • Regional powers clash after Israel targets Syrian territory in defense of vulnerable Druze civilians

    July 18, 2025
  • ‘He’s not a big factor’: Trump’s Senate allies dismiss Elon Musk’s calls to ‘kill the bill’

    June 5, 2025
  • FBI agents’ association ‘optimistic’ about AG Bondi despite early controversy with Trump administration

    February 7, 2025
  • Dems flood defense bill with far-left amendments aimed at Trump

    September 9, 2025
  • Feds open probe into RFK Jr for allegedly decapitating a dead whale

    September 17, 2024

Popular Posts

  • 1

    Secret Service admits leaning on ‘state and local partners’ after claim it ignored Trump team’s past requests

    July 21, 2024
  • 2

    Five more House Democrats call on Biden to drop out, third US senator

    July 19, 2024
  • 3

    Elon and Vivek should tackle US funding for this boondoogle organization and score a multimillion dollar win

    December 4, 2024
  • 4

    Forex Profit Calculator: Maximize Your Trading Potential

    July 10, 2024
  • 5

    Biden calls to ‘lower the temperature’ then bashes Trump in NAACP speech

    July 17, 2024

Categories

  • Economy (829)
  • Editor's Pick (6,506)
  • Investing (634)
  • Stock (941)

Latest Posts

  • Stellar is recovering, Bitcoin Cash is back below $300.00

    August 6, 2024
  • DOGE says it found nearly untraceable budget line item responsible for $4.7T in payments

    February 18, 2025
  • Elections are temporary. Family is forever. Here’s how to keep politics from driving you apart

    September 22, 2024

Recent Posts

  • Trump-Harris debate: Sen Rick Scott identifies ‘biggest thing’ that can help former president

    September 10, 2024
  • MORNING GLORY: Trump meets Putin amid an era done away with John Quincy Adams’ ‘abroad’

    August 12, 2025
  • Trump and first lady to get King Charles’ royal treatment at Windsor Castle

    September 17, 2025

Editor’s Pick

  • Trump directs agencies to follow Supreme Court rulings, as he continues to rein in administrative state

    April 15, 2025
  • What’s next for Iran’s terror army, the IRGC, after devastating military setbacks?

    July 2, 2025
  • Biden calls for Supreme Court term limits, code of conduct, limits on presidential immunity

    July 29, 2024
  • About us
  • Contacts
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions

Disclaimer: moneyrisetoday.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Copyright © 2025 moneyrisetoday.com | All Rights Reserved

Money Rise Today – Investing and Stock News
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Money Rise Today – Investing and Stock News
  • Investing
  • Stock