• Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Money Rise Today – Investing and Stock News
  • Investing
  • Stock
Editor's Pick

WH study warns 9 million Americans could lose health insurance in ‘major’ recession if Trump budget bill fails

by May 18, 2025
written by May 18, 2025

The White House on Saturday released a study estimating that 8.2 to 9.2 million more Americans could be without health insurance as a result of an ensuing recession if President Donald Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’ on the budget does not pass. 

The finding comes from a White House Council of Economic Advisers memo titled, ‘Health Insurance Opportunity Cost if 2025 Proposed Budget Reconciliation Bill Does Not Pass.’ 

The research assumes that the U.S. had approximately 27 million uninsured people in 2025. If the budget bill does not pass, that could increase to approximately 36 million uninsured people, far closer to the approximately 50 million people who were uninsured before the implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare, in 2010, according to the memo.

The memo says the estimate is ‘based on the assumption that states which expanded Medicaid with relatively generous eligibility will pull back to meet balanced budget requirements and try to provide more unemployment support during a severe recession.’ It also qualifies its conclusions by saying the analysis assumes ‘no policy countermeasures,’ which the White House describes as a ‘very unlikely but plausible worse case’ scenario. 

The White House projects that the expiration of the 2017 Trump tax cuts in 2026 and other shocks would trigger a ‘moderate to severe recession.’ The economic advisers report that a ‘major recession’ would result in reduced consumer spending as a result of higher individual taxes, lower small business investment and hiring as a result higher pass-through individual taxes, global confidence shock including concerns about U.S. competitiveness, and dollar deflation tightening credit and pushing real interest rates higher. 

According to the advisers’ ‘upper bound’ estimate of the impact of not extending the Trump tax cuts, U.S. GDP could contract by approximately 4% over two years – similar to the 2008 recession. Unemployment could increase by four percentage points, resulting in approximately 6.5 million job losses. Of those 6.5 million job losses, 60% had employer-sponsored insurance, so the White House projects approximately 3.9 million people would lose coverage and become uninsured as a result. 

The memo also anticipates a loss of individual and marketplace coverage, as those already without employer-sponsored insurance are no longer able to afford to purchase insurance themselves. The White House expects a 15% drop from approximately 22 million enrolled in 2026 to approximately 3.3 million losing coverage. 

Without the passage of the ‘big, beautiful bill,’ Medicaid and ACA subsidized plan enrollment could experience 10% enrollment frictions, resulting in approximately 500,000 to 1 million people losing or failing to gain coverage, the memo states. The expiration of the 2017 Trump tax cuts would disproportionately affect non-citizens, gig workers and early retirees, according to the White House. The advisers assess that individuals in those working classes without employer-sponsored insurance would no longer be able to afford coverage as a result of a recession, leading to 500,000 to 1 million insurance losses among ‘vulnerable segments.’

House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., is laboring to get the ‘One Big Beautiful Act’ through the House by a self-imposed Memorial Day deadline despite divisions among Republicans, who maintain control of the lower chamber by a razor-thin margin. 

The 1,116-page bill includes more than $5 trillion in tax cuts, costs that are partially offset by spending cuts elsewhere and other changes in the tax code, and would make permanent the tax cuts from Trump’s first term. 

It also realizes many of Trump‘s campaign promises, including temporarily ending taxes on overtime and tips for many workers, creating a new $10,000 tax break on auto loan interest for American-made cars, and even creating a new tax-free ‘MAGA account’ that would contribute $1,000 to children born in his second term.

The Associated Press contributed to this report. 

This post appeared first on FOX NEWS
0 comment
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

previous post
‘You saved my life:’ Freed hostage Edan Alexander thanks Trump in emotional phone call
next post
Trump’s idea to make Americans have babies again gets mixed reviews from experts

related articles

Hawley blasts FDA approval of new abortion drug,...

October 2, 2025

Trump’s DOGE savings dwarfed by Medicare, Social Security...

October 2, 2025

FLASHBACK: James Comey urged officials to always prosecute...

October 2, 2025

The agency staff Vought might recommend cutting and...

October 2, 2025

Reagan-appointed judge, once rebuked by Supreme Court, continues...

October 2, 2025

‘Real consequences’: Food aid, flood insurance, FEMA funds...

October 2, 2025

Trump must triple severely outdated nuke arsenal to...

October 2, 2025

White House says federal layoffs could hit ‘thousands’...

October 2, 2025

Johnson shuts door on negotiating shutdown deal as...

October 2, 2025

Democrats refuse to budge over Obamacare fight as...

October 2, 2025
Enter Your Information Below To Receive Free Trading Ideas, Latest News, And Articles.


Your information is secure and your privacy is protected. By opting in you agree to receive emails from us. Remember that you can opt-out any time, we hate spam too!

Latest News

  • SafeMoon and Litecoin: Litecoin forms a new high at $73.53

    July 16, 2024
  • U.S. judge orders Google to share search data with competitors

    September 3, 2025
  • TikTok to withdraw Lite Rewards program permanently from EU amid safety concerns

    August 5, 2024
  • DirecTV is pushing its pay TV bundle — without a satellite dish

    August 13, 2024
  • SafeMoon and LItecoin: SafeMoon tests new weekly support

    July 31, 2024

Popular Posts

  • 1

    Secret Service admits leaning on ‘state and local partners’ after claim it ignored Trump team’s past requests

    July 21, 2024
  • 2

    Five more House Democrats call on Biden to drop out, third US senator

    July 19, 2024
  • 3

    Elon and Vivek should tackle US funding for this boondoogle organization and score a multimillion dollar win

    December 4, 2024
  • 4

    Forex Profit Calculator: Maximize Your Trading Potential

    July 10, 2024
  • 5

    Biden calls to ‘lower the temperature’ then bashes Trump in NAACP speech

    July 17, 2024

Categories

  • Economy (829)
  • Editor's Pick (6,247)
  • Investing (634)
  • Stock (935)

Latest Posts

  • Trump visits Qatar as country’s jet offer puts spotlight on nation’s growing influence in Washington

    May 14, 2025
  • Israeli forces seize documents that reveal Hamas plan for more elaborate attacks: report

    October 15, 2024
  • Microsoft reveals its first quantum computing chip, the Majorana 1

    February 20, 2025

Recent Posts

  • Restaurant chain Hooters files for bankruptcy protection to enable founder-led buyout

    April 1, 2025
  • 10 Dems join Republicans to punish Al Green for Trump speech outburst

    March 6, 2025
  • Russian-American ballerina Ksenia Karelina released in prisoner swap with Moscow

    April 10, 2025

Editor’s Pick

  • Trump amends executive order raising China tariffs to 20% over ‘failure to address’ fentanyl crisis

    March 4, 2025
  • Trump HHS nominee RFK Jr returns to Capitol Hill for round 2 after heated first day of hearings

    January 30, 2025
  • Fox News projects Donald Trump defeats Kamala Harris to become 47th president of the United States

    November 6, 2024
  • About us
  • Contacts
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions

Disclaimer: moneyrisetoday.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Copyright © 2025 moneyrisetoday.com | All Rights Reserved

Money Rise Today – Investing and Stock News
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Money Rise Today – Investing and Stock News
  • Investing
  • Stock