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UBS cuts PT, analysts flag turnaround risks after Dave & Buster’s stock plunges

by September 15, 2026
written by September 15, 2026

Shares of Dave & Buster’s Entertainment PLAY plunged 13.6% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the arcade and entertainment chain reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results that missed Wall Street expectations on both revenue and earnings.

The company swung to a quarterly loss as it continued to struggle with declining entertainment sales and efforts to rebuild its relevance with customers.

The weak results put further pressure on new CEO Darin Harper, who took the top job last month and is now overseeing a broader turnaround of the business.

Revenue fell 2.4% to $544.1 million, below analysts’ estimate of $556.8 million, according to FactSet.

Entertainment-related revenue declined nearly 9% to $332.6 million, more than offsetting growth in food and beverage sales.

Dave & Buster’s posted a net loss of $12.5 million, or 36 cents per share, compared with a profit of $11.4 million, or 32 cents per share, a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, the company reported a loss of 27 cents per share, compared with analysts’ expectations for earnings of 18 cents.

New CEO targets customer relevance

Harper has said the company needs to return to its core strengths while becoming a more compelling choice for customers looking to celebrate special occasions.

“We are predominantly an occasion-based business with high awareness, but we have not consistently been the obvious answer when a guest is planning one of those occasions,” Harper said.

“Our value and execution have not been dependable enough.”

The company is now ramping up a turnaround strategy centred on improving its core offering, strengthening marketing and delivering better value.

Dave & Buster’s has added 10 new games to its entertainment floors, which executives said are performing well.

However, the company remains behind after years of underinvestment in its offerings.

There were some encouraging signs in the latest quarter.

Same-store sales declined 2.9%, but that was better than the 3.4% decline expected by Wall Street.

Locations that have undergone remodelling also outperformed the broader system.

The company has also rebuilt parts of its leadership team, including hiring a new chief marketing officer.

Harper said Dave & Buster’s had gone more than a year without a head of marketing, contributing to inconsistent promotional calendars and messaging that failed to connect consistently with customers.

Analysts remain cautious on turnaround

Despite the operational initiatives, analysts remain unconvinced that the company has reached an inflection point.

Citizens reiterated its Market Perform rating following the results.

The stock has fallen over 50% this year.

Analyst Jordan Bender said the firm did not believe the new CEO was yet prepared to make major changes, although execution could improve as the company implements its various initiatives.

“We do not get the sense the new CEO is ready to make material changes to the business, although we should expect better execution across the business through various initiatives.”

UBS was similarly cautious, cutting its price target to $9 from $12 while maintaining a Neutral rating.

Analyst Dennis Geiger said sales trends were showing early signs of improvement, but greater-than-expected pressure on margins and earnings, elevated macroeconomic risks, and limited visibility meant the turnaround remained in its early stages.

UBS said management is focused on improving earnings flow-through and same-store sales through 2026 and into 2027.

Its initiatives include game innovation, stronger marketing, collectibles and partnerships, as well as improved food and beverage offerings.

The firm said the lower price target reflected reduced earnings estimates following the weak quarter and limited visibility into a recovery.

StoneX maintained a Hold rating and warned that the improvement in operating indicators had yet to translate into growth in consolidated revenue or adjusted EBITDA.

The firm said management’s credibility remains impaired and that the burden of proof remains high.

Cash flow offers one bright spot

Dave & Buster’s has nevertheless made some progress on cash generation.

Adjusted free cash flow turned positive year-to-date, helped by lower capital spending and improved cash generation.

The improvement gives management some financial flexibility as it invests in the business and attempts to rebuild sales.

The post UBS cuts PT, analysts flag turnaround risks after Dave & Buster’s stock plunges appeared first on Invezz

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