Microsoft shares MSFT gained more than 1% on Thursday, helping the technology giant overtake Nvidia to become the world’s second-most valuable publicly traded company.
The stock rose 1.33% to $528.05, while Nvidia’s shares fell 5.46%. According to Dow Jones Market data, Microsoft’s market capitalisation rose to $3.89 trillion, overtaking Nvidia’s $3.88 trillion.
The shift comes as Nvidia faces pressure following the resignation of CEO Jensen Huang, while investors reassess the outlook for artificial intelligence stocks.
Microsoft shares have also come under pressure recently, falling more than 5% from their record closing high of $555.80 on November 4.
However, Wall Street analysts see the company’s upcoming Ignite conference as a potential catalyst for renewed investor confidence.
Microsoft Ignite puts Azure and Copilot in focus
Microsoft will hold its annual Ignite conference from November 17 to November 20, with investors expected to focus on developments across its Azure cloud platform and Copilot AI assistant.
The event comes at an important time for the company, following concerns about competition in enterprise software.
Anthropic recently unveiled a spreadsheet tool that could challenge Microsoft’s Excel offering.
Citi analyst Tyler Radke expects the conference to reinforce confidence in Microsoft’s artificial intelligence growth prospects.
He maintained a Buy rating and a $680 price target, saying the opening keynote could focus on the next phase of enterprise AI adoption.
Expected areas of focus include Copilot, AI agents, Azure, security, and AI infrastructure.
Radke also expects Microsoft to demonstrate how Copilot is evolving from an assistant into a broader enterprise agent platform, with improvements in orchestration, governance and enterprise controls.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Wood also expressed a positive view, maintaining an Overweight rating and a $650 price target.
Wood said Microsoft’s accelerating growth and operating leverage following its latest quarterly results had strengthened confidence in its ability to monetise AI investments.
He added that Ignite could reinforce investor confidence in the durability and breadth of that growth.
AI spending and infrastructure returns remain key concerns
Despite the positive outlook, analysts will be watching for evidence that Microsoft can improve the economics of serving growing AI demand.
The company has committed substantial resources to expanding its data-centre infrastructure.
Microsoft is spending $117 billion this year on data centres supporting AI and cloud services.
Wood said investors would want further evidence that Microsoft can generate more revenue and gross profit from each dollar invested in infrastructure.
Failure to demonstrate improving returns could increase concerns about the sustainability of its AI spending.
However, strong revenue growth, particularly from Azure, has helped Microsoft maintain investor confidence despite its substantial investment commitments.
Microsoft pledges to fund its own data-centre growth
Microsoft has also addressed concerns about the impact of its infrastructure expansion on local communities and energy consumers.
Microsoft President of Cloud Operations Noelle Walsh said the company would not pass the costs of its data-centre growth on to other electricity customers, adding that Microsoft would pay its own way.
The company is working with Chevron on a power project in West Texas called Kilby.
However, the project has been delayed by a temporary moratorium imposed by Texas Governor Greg Abbott.
Chevron still plans to bring the project online by 2028 and have it fully operational by 2031.
Microsoft’s ability to expand its infrastructure while managing costs, regulatory challenges and community concerns will remain important to its AI growth strategy.
The upcoming Ignite conference could provide investors with further insight into how the company plans to translate that investment into sustained revenue and earnings growth.
AI disclosure: AI tools assisted with research and drafting of this piece. An Invezz editor reviewed the facts, sources and wording before publication. Any opinions or analysis are Invezz’s, not those of an automated system.
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